I did lousy on my predictions last year, despite actually having ESP. (I have partial short-term ESP, which is nearly worthless. Really. For example, recently I was walking to meet a friend and I could see into the future a bit that this friend was going to get sick, and I reflected on the three or four solutions I'd try to solve the problem. I then met the friend, sure enough, she got sick, and I pondered the three or four solutions and none of them were very good, i.e. her husband wasn't there to pick her up, etc. etc. So all I got out of the ESP was an extra 30 minutes to think over an array of equally-bad solutions. Ridiculous. What good is ESP?!)
Let me tell you first what I got wrong:
o SL concurrency will get to 100,000 -- no, it is only at about 80,000, and mostly not
o bots will not be banned -- yet they were, and even an old JIRA proposal of mine was fulfilled, namely that they be labelled as bots or "scripted agents".
o traffic will be removed from search -- yet it wasn't, even if nerfed, and thank God for it.
o Philip will write a book -- well, he started a new company and a blog, does that count?
o Anshe Chung will leave SL -- no, she shrank, but didn't leave, possibly due to Linden incentives or bulk rates
o the Lindens will tinker with the LindEx and offer special rates for merchants -- no, they didn't, mercifully, although they did open up the closed store of SLE Work Marketplace and raise commissions on Xstreet
So, what did I get right?
o a senior Linden will leave -- and Robin Harper did leave and many others did too (less senior but still important)
And this, which I'll quote in full:
"Lindens will continue to blur the distinction between mainland and private islands, and between themselves as platform providers and their residents as content and services providers, and roll out their first zoned sims. In order to fight the price jacking that occurs in the auction process, they will either roll out huge numbers of them, or make the buyable inworld for a fixed price, like First Land used to be, only by verified accounts, i.e. payment information on file, premium account, tied to an IP address and only one credit card. If that sounds like insufficient protection against farming fixed land accounts, you're right, but the Lindens will sic peer pressure on the problem and enable ARing of the farmers.
Lindens will come up with a theme that will be what I'm calling "Neko" these days, i.e. urban grunge, post-apocalypse, and furry lite (Nekos are basically furry lite). So they'll have a bombed-out end-of-the-world look, all kinds of bloggers will wittily talk about how it *is* the EOW and LL is desperate, but LL will laugh all the way to the bank because it will be a huge seller. This may or may not go hand in hand with a policy simply not to open up the Mainland auction ever again to whole sims or part new sims, but only used land or their own themed land. I'm betting they will not make a decision or policy about it, but just continue by inertia not to open up the Mainland auctions to full sims anymore."
So I got that one all right in all details except the Neko Grunge EOW look, as they went Disney with the wizards, and Cybersex with the modern dick-in-a-box look as Crap calls it and of course Oriental, always a failsafe decision. Neko may be in Q1, however...
So gosh, that was a pretty lousy partial ESP performance, folks, what can I tell you. Let me see if I can do better now: